Let's say I get a math text book published in China. In the first page it prints 1+1=2.
I don't for a minute believe this equation is actually true. But on the other hand, it seems like a very strange lie to tell, because it's so unbelievable. There are too many digits to select, why do they choose 2? It would be far easier to believe a claim that 1+1=11.
It's tempting to believe that the Chinese government just doesn't give a damn what people think, and are therefore willing to say anything at all.
The only interpretation that I can come up with that makes sense is that they just choosed the mose closed digit after 1 without looking like idiots.
Guess what? If you find a state which is too unbelievalbe to be a lie, it has a very big chance that it is not a lie, unless you really get a evidence to against it.
I am sorry be emotinal if you are really seriously to anaylis. However just because you are probably seriouse, I really want to points out you are in the wrong way. When you are driving in highway and find a sign sys 'WRONG WAY GO BACK'. You should go back, but not turn left, breaking roadbed and drive to the wild field.
Around Feb 2020 at the peak of then Wuhan, there was an accidental reporting on one of the news channel there showing 200K death. Even subsequent body bags order urgently from Taiwan seems to account for that huge numbers. And many reported for days the sky has strong ash smell, with all crematorium working non-stop for months. It is possible the numbers are in millions as there is also reported telco subscribers lost a lot of subscribers there in the range of millions. Considering health care in China sucks if you're in rural and about 40% still in rural, plus babies died because refused admission to hospitals for hours, many believes death number are way higher than those in USA and EU. Even today, China own education system don't mention much death of "great leap forward" which actually put Mao way ahead of Hitler in death counts.
It is ridiculous to criticize the "zero case" stratergy on one hand and doubt the "zero death" report without any evidence on the other hand. It is just like a craying baby to refuse the reality.
To @johan_larson, you don't have to bother to give out a bullet list about your analyses. You should had learned in high school that any case study and analyses should base on data and facts. However all points you listed are based on your subjective judgment. That will be earier to just say NO I DO NOT BELIEVE IT. Just like others comments.
BTW, as a chinese living in oversea, I thanks for the chinese government to be serious about "zero case", even that brings me difficulty going back to China. As long as I know my parents are living in the one of a few country which are safe for aged people so far.
If you are young or if you are in the middle age, you don't have to care about COVID very much. You can take care about yourself. You probably die if you get it but only in a less chance. However if you have parents and/or grand parents, go to read some article about symptoms or listen to the experience of people who recovered from COVID. Imagine how suffer they were and how they fear in the mid-night when they in the bed alone. (Because the illness could take a turn for the worse very quickly, and it turns to be very dangerous if no proper treat in time.)
If it is possible by the sake of your empathy, think about how many the "zero case" stratergy saved aged people in China and praise it abit!
If you refuse to admit the above. Just don't bother to doubt unless you do get any evidence. By the sake of humanelity empathy, do your best to stop spread around you. Reduce the risk to aged people in your familty and others beloved!
It's tempting to believe that the Chinese government just doesn't give a damn what people think, and are therefore willing to say anything at all.
The only interpretation that I can come up with that makes sense is that they just choosed the mose closed digit after 1 without looking like idiots.
Guess what? If you find a state which is too unbelievalbe to be a lie, it has a very big chance that it is not a lie, unless you really get a evidence to against it.
I am sorry be emotinal if you are really seriously to anaylis. However just because you are probably seriouse, I really want to points out you are in the wrong way. When you are driving in highway and find a sign sys 'WRONG WAY GO BACK'. You should go back, but not turn left, breaking roadbed and drive to the wild field.