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It is because the goalposts were wrong.

We once thought that a computer could not beat a grandmaster in chess or pass the Turing test without some undefined special human property. We were wrong about the computer needing this undefined special human property.

A spreadsheet has been much better at math than the average person for a long time too. A spreadsheet is a very useful human tool. LLMs are a revolutionary useful tool. For some people that doesn't seem to be enough though and they have to try to find or insist the LLM has the undefined special human property.


I am fully remote and have only been in the office once this year.

I really miss the social aspect but that is it. Everything I miss about the office is the opposite of productive.

Even career growth wise, I have much more direct line to the people that matter eyes on chats than I ever would to their ears in the office. Their ears would be drowned in noise like everyone else in the office.


You can't underestimate this being a bot playground/training ground with no particular purpose beyond getting the bot to say realistic/interesting replies.

I have zero interest in bots, but if I did, the hacker news API would be exactly how I would start.


The idea of uploading my passport in order to talk on a social network is quite delusional.

I would say LLMs have told me more interesting things than any human has in the past year and it is not even close.

I suspect at some point, a new structure will be figured out that it doesn't matter if you are talking to a human or LLM. If that doesn't happen, at some point I will probably just stop trying to talk to humans online and just talk to Claude or whatever the strongest model is of the moment.


I wouldn't be surprised if it is an entirely throw away bargaining chip.

"Ok, Ok, we will give up on the anti-automation demands but we aren't budging on the wage increase demands!"


Sapolsky wrote a 500 page rebuttal to this idea in Determined.

It is quite a convincing book and maybe even a dangerous book in a sense.


At my previous company, I was rejected by HR for a job the hiring manager not only told me to apply for but hired me immediately after the interview for.

Reach out for sure. Do anything humanly possible to avoid going through HR.


The problem is I don't even like video calls with real people.

It is the same problem that in most context, the video has no purpose. The only use for video is to put a face to a name/voice.

I hope my company competitors switch to AI video for sales and support. I would absolutely pay for that!


I have never read anything by him that seemed correct.

He really does seem like quite a good contrarian indicator if anything.


He was right that scaling would not achieve abstract reasoning and he's been right so far on basically every new hyped development. The closed research labs like OpenAI are hoping to reduce all the gaps in their models by constantly patching out of distribution data sets but this clearly can not achieve any sort of general intelligence unless they somehow manage to obsolete themselves and the entire company by automating the out of distribution patching itself which they now perform by burning lots of cash and energy.

There are people who need to write a lot of emails so for those people I'm sure OpenAI will continue to deliver some kind of value but everyone else will still have to continue thinking for themselves regardless of what Sam Altman keeps promising.


It is a great point.

It also might be that the language everyone uses 20 years from now that gives a 50X from today is just being worked on right now or won't come along for another 5 years.

The way people who would have thought that humans could never fly were not completely wrong before the airplane. After the airplane though, we are really talking about two different versions of a "human that can fly".


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