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Multi-generation households - which also can keep older people active like you noted -are mostly gone. You can't do much for your tribe from a retirement home on a random Saturday afternoon every few months in summer, so work or hobbies are the remaining activity centers, but you now which of the 2 is lionized as a virtue in American culture. Some hobbies are unfortunately only discovered in retirement, so perhaps some criticism of the economic system as imperfect is due.

The only missing bit is the meme-stock side of business where emoji-slinging, HODL'ng bag-holder, retail investors with no actual investment strategy fund the whole operation. The amount of misinformation pumping $GME on social media is staggering.

> Each experiment is a branch (or work-tree) so yes there are a lot of commits happening, but the results are measurably real.

If you are correct , and GitHub is scaling its compute mostly as a reaction to this externality (agents churning through code that will mostly be discarded), then you can look forward to getting billed for your usage. After all, it is hard to build a scalable system without back-pressure.


I've already started moving my personal projects off github and onto forgejo running on my homelab. I know a lot of people doing the same. With a hermes-agent for a sysadmin I can debug problems from my phone, so I wouldn't be surprised if I have more "9s" that GH.

But if it ends up costing extra for GH, especially for work usage, then it's just a simple calculation of "is this worth it?" which I suspect for most cases will be 'yes'.


> [...]it's just a simple calculation of "is this worth it?" which I suspect for most cases will be 'yes'

Once the landgrab-stage flat-pricing goes away, it will become a case-by-case calculation because unsupervised agents can (and will) run up your billing with zero understanding of the business value of what they're instructed to solve.


> with zero understanding of the business value

What kind of products/services are you building where you aren't able to tie your eval suite to business value? If you can't, then why are you building whatever is it you are in the first place?

By far one of the biggest changes I think we'll see in things being built by agents is reducing the gap between code and value. The first stage is to start making it possible to measure quality (evals) and the second stage is to more closely align measurable equality with value. The business value of the tokens spent on my team was discussed my first day.

> Once the landgrab-stage flat-pricing goes away

Aside from the above point, I'm already running local LLMs on my homelab that, while not quite what I want for truly production work, have been able to iterate on and solve real, non-trivial research tasks for effectively zero cost (energy cost was roughly on par with running an old light bulb).

The way open, local models have been developing there will be many cases where if proprietary providers over-charge it won't be a deal breaker to just switch to local models. Not to mention that there are plenty of open, but non-local models that are already 5x cheaper and roughly on par with the mainstream model providers.


This appears to be a harbinger of a Plastic-era of software. A miracle product that's used for everything, and will turn up everywhere before we've had the chance to consider the wider impact. Learning to write software in a generation will be a royal mess, as will be finding clean training data, and software discovery.

AGI or bust

Regional chauvinism is never good for a healthy union. Even if it were the Union Jack, flag-shaggers are almost always blood and soil zealots.

I disagree here. Local/regional chauvinism is funny and de-dramatize nationalism while being a very good point to start discussions. Seeing the Gwenn ah Du flag in the US or in other foreign country is basically a "come talk to me" call.

There are different sorts of regional chauvinism though: a distinction can be drawn between English flags erected in random US states by people who want to talk about their ancestors in the 1750s, English flags flown alongside the local coat of arms on tourist sites all over the UK, English flags hanging from English homes by all over England because of excitement for an upcoming football tournament and English flags surreptitiously hung on council property by far-right thugs who attack council staff tasked with removing them, on the basis of internet memes about needing more flags to show those immigrants who's boss. England has all of the above, but that last one has dominated flag erections recently.

As for Banksy who incidentally also likes making surreptitious additions to other people's property, he's never exactly been subtle about which school of politics he doesn't like


I think a small level of it is fine. It’s like sports teams. You can be a Giants fan and I can be a Yankees fan, and we’ll bicker & make fun of each other for supporting a different team. But we can still work together & be civil when it comes to lots of other stuff.

> But then how does it quickly get resold at 40x?

Because the new "owners" are buying the Business Manager visa, not the actual property.


You should read the research papers that come out with Deepseek releases. There is a reason why the first Deepseek release briefly caused existential panic.

I did not and am not inclined to invest the time to do so.

But I did read some second hand reports that what was new and exciting was that they found some really good performance optimizations. The thing about deekseek publishing this is that now everyone has this.

Or did I miss something?


> The thing about deekseek publishing this is that now everyone has this.

It sounds like you're agreeing with upstream comment then!

>> DeepSeek and other Chinese model makers are massively accelerating progress in AI not slowing it down


from the "DeepSeek is a ploy to undermine usamerican models' duopoly" theory's perspective, "now everyone has this" helps them achieve this goal more efficiently.

especially if it's something that the major companies had already stumbled upon (something equivalent to) and regarded as a trade secret.


> The article talks about manufacturing tolerances.

As shown by your quotes, the article clearly mentions tip clearance, and not manufacturing tolerances, which you are infering. The article doesn't characterize the thermal expansion the "super polymer" is expected to undergo under normal operating conditions[1]: something Lego doesn't contend with.

All this to say: Lego's manufacturing tolerances alone can't falsify Noctua's claims because they ultimately are different metrics.

1. I imagine the expansion rate of the fan blade radius doesn't correlate linearly with that of the shroud, so the tip clearance changes with temperature. With this constraint, not even Lego could make its manufacturing tolerances equal the fan clearance, which has to be larger if you want the fan to predictably work without jamming over a 40-degree temperature range.


> I highly doubt there is no other technically feasible option to block the AI bots.

If you have discovered such an option, you could get very wealthy: minimizing friction for humans in e-commerce is valuable. If you're a drive-by critic not vested in the project, then yours is an instance of talk being cheap.


> Only if you consider west "civilization" as the US.

Not just the US, it was pretty peak for the UK as well. Probably even moreso, considering the deleterious austerity policies that followed. The 90's were great for Germany, and formerly eastern-bloc countries.


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