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RobertoG on March 13, 2020 | parent | context | favorite | on: Italy and South Korea virus outbreaks reveal dispa...

>>"The real answer is simply that the number of tests is not equal to the number of cases."

I think you are right, but, assuming all the deaths are reported, the obvious implication is that the mortality rate is a lot lower than 3%

If fact, looking to Germany, I would say that it's around 0.2, 0.3 %

That would be the good news, the bad news is that it's extremely contagious, probably because nobody is immune to this thing.

Of course, I'm only a random guy in the Internet, so take it with a grain of salt.

gpderetta on March 13, 2020 [–]

I think the current most credible estimate is 0.8%-1%. That's what the UK government has been planning for, for example.

RobertoG on March 13, 2020 | [–]

Makes sense, it's difficult to calculate without knowing the number of tests that are being done in every country.

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