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This is extremely worrying. No other country has seen such a sharp increase in COVID-19 infections like the USA. On top of that, the death rate is also very high. And this is just getting started...


From where I sit USA is doing not nearly enough to prevent the spread.

Here in Poland the actions started very early when there was less than half a dozen cases when all schools were closed and now with about a thousand cases we have full curfew with stiff fines (about $10k) for people moving or meeting without sufficient reason.

Even though reaction was quite fast there was no sufficient testing of all suspected cases as it was done in South Korea and it is expected we will have at least tens of thousands of cases.

If you look at the graphs of cases on https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ you will see the logarithmic graphs for Poland very slowly flattening which means the growth is slowing down while the one for US is still growing strong completely unchecked.

It took from March 14th to March 25th (11 days) to get last 10x increase in Poland, the previous 10x increase from March 8 to March 14th (6 days).

In US, the numbers are March 17th to March 25th (8 days) while the previous 10x increase was from March 9th to March 17th (also 8 days).

So it seems while Poland started faster it now has slower doubling rate while also having much less portion of population infected.

Now compare this to current situation in Italy where the last 10x increase took from March 8th to March 25th which is 17 days and you will see that US situation is way worse than in Italy as the doubling rate is not only not slowing down but the exponent is over two times higher. During the time it took Italy to increase cases 10x the same number increased over 100 times in US.

I don't have a way to connect the government actions to results but I also understand without the actions the virus would spread unconstrained.




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