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No one is addressing the issue right now because we aren't even in a situation to exploit the alternate arrangement. Suppose at this very moment we switch over to the quarantine the old people strategy, and go to largely unrestricted life for other age groups. Even in the 20-50 year old range, the hospitalization rate looks like 20%. Say we're actually missing 50% of cases cause they're so mild, so it's really 10%.

330 million Americans, says 70% aren't at highest risk, all become infected, at 10% hospitalization -> 23 million hospitalizations required. Spread over 18 months, that's still an additional 1.25 million hospitalizations every month. That's 0.3% of Americans in hospital for COVID, constantly (assuming average 1 month time in hospital required - yes I made that up).

For context, roughly 0.7% of Americans are incarcerated at any given time.

Still a logistical nightmare. You can tweak those numbers however you wish, but they generally all giving mind boggling logistical nightmares.



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