Consider the R0 value that you're trying to reduce by social distancing.
New York City starts with a high value. People encounter each other in apartment hallways, packed subways, crowded streets, and huge stadiums.
Rural places don't have any of that. People don't pass by any non-family when going from home to car. Non-family don't share that car. The streets are nearly empty of people, with just the occasional person out walking a dog.
There might not be exponential growth. If R0 is below 1, there is exponential decay.
New York City starts with a high value. People encounter each other in apartment hallways, packed subways, crowded streets, and huge stadiums.
Rural places don't have any of that. People don't pass by any non-family when going from home to car. Non-family don't share that car. The streets are nearly empty of people, with just the occasional person out walking a dog.
There might not be exponential growth. If R0 is below 1, there is exponential decay.