I think the problem is that, even if you end up getting a proof of concept that attracts others, and they end up being 100x as productive as people using the Old Way, you will still be outpaced because the Old Way has 100,000x as many people working on it as there are on the New Way.
The odds are stacked against any specific New Way from taking hold.
But we can also invert our perspective and ask: Will there a dramatic shift to a New Way in the next half century? Since 1970 there have been at least 3 major transitions in how people work with technology, it’s easy to imagine more will come before 2070.
