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There have been tens of trillions of dollars and other currencies created from thin air the last year and a half. And more is being created currently. This isn’t just the US government. It’s basically all governments in the world.

EDIT:

Fed has been purchasing 120b of assets per month https://cheddar.com/media/federal-reserve-to-keep-up-asset-p...

Federal government has spent at least 3.5 trillion on COVID-19.

EDIT2: More like 8.6 trillion. 2 trillion added by the bills passed early 2021.

https://datalab.usaspending.gov/federal-covid-funding/

That is the US. Then add all the other countries in the world.

That much extra money chasing the same amount of the goods and services, investments, etc…

So either we are in a bubble or currency has been devalued.

EDIT3: Fed spending is about 25k per person in the US.



I said that the other day and someone just replied snarkly "Trickle up economics".

That's like saying Thermodynamics is trickle up Chemistry. There is value in looking at macro-ecomonic concepts especially when it comes to government spending, federal reserve interest rates and inflation.


One of the weird things about trickle down economics is that the rich's favorite past time is earning more than they spend. Basically the entire thing is built around the idea that dumping money into a portion of the economy that doesn't have to pay taxes is good while ignoring that this money was created through debt which eventually is converted to government debt through various means. When the debt burden grows, tax revenue has to go up as well but you are sending all the money into a no tax black hole meaning the tax revenue vs debt payment ratio gets out of whack.

How is this supposed to work again?

I'd consider "Trickle up" anything that creates full employment. If employees are earning more money they pay more taxes. It kind of does work precisely because the tax burden is so high.


> So either we are in a bubble or currency has been devalued.

¿Por qué no los dos? Seriously, to me it looks like we were in a bubble even before COVID, and that has now been juiced up by all the newly printed money sloshing around.


Yeah, possibly. There are most likely multiple, overlapping things happening at once… some inflationary, some deflationary, etc…


You can see some of this in the prices of things like real estate.




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