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I was unaware of such prediction, but it's unsurprising. In that case, it's the probability of one dying, which was no more unlikely than the first one.

...and of course, people have said this about whistleblowers and witnesses who testify thousands of times. It'd be weird if one of those forecasts didn't come true once in a while.



> In that case, it's the probability of one dying, which was no more unlikely than the first one.

Yes, and that probability is very low. Approximately 1% based on actuarial data.

> ..and of course, people have said this about whistleblowers and witnesses who testify thousands of times.

Because it did indeed happen many times. Hence why things like the witness protection program have been set up.




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